Markets – Riviera Wealth Management

Fed November 2026: Between Persistent Inflation and Fiscal Constraint

Five weeks before the November FOMC, Jerome Powell faces an unprecedented dilemma: core inflation at 2.8% and record fiscal expansion from the Big Beautiful Bill. Analysis of scenarios and portfolio positioning strategy.

septembre 30, 2026

Q3 2026: Markets Hold Firm, Bracing for a Decisive Q4

Q3 2026 review — S&P 500 +3.2%, gold at a record ,460/oz, 10Y UST at 4.85% — and our positioning for a decisive Q4 centered on AI earnings, US elections and the Fed calendar.

septembre 28, 2026

OPEC+ and the Brent: three scenarios for oil in Q4 2026

OPEC+ October meeting, member discipline and Chinese demand: three probabilistic scenarios for Brent in Q4 2026 and their implications for wealth management portfolios.

septembre 25, 2026

French OAT Yield at 4.5%: France-Germany Spread Crosses 100 Basis Points

The OAT/Bund spread crossed 100 basis points on September 18 — a level unseen since 2012. Analysis of French sovereign debt tension and bond strategy for wealth management portfolios.

septembre 23, 2026

The US 10-Year at 5%: Should You Reposition Your Bond Allocation?

The Fed raises rates to 3.75–4% in mid-September 2026: the US 10-year yield approaches 5%, a level unseen since 2007. Bond strategy, equity valuation impact and portfolio repositioning for wealth investors.

septembre 21, 2026

China — The Autumn 2026 Stimulus: Cyclical Rebound or Structural Signal?

Beijing deploys a CNY 2,500 billion fiscal package. Copper up 14%, CSI 300 gaining 9.2% in September: what this means for your emerging market and commodities allocation.

septembre 18, 2026

August NFP 2026: jobs data confirms the Fed’s orderly pivot

The August 2026 NFP (145,000 jobs, 4.2% unemployment) confirms the soft landing scenario and validates the Fed's orderly pivot. Analysis of components, rate implications and allocation adjustments.

septembre 7, 2026

FOMC September 2026: The Fed at a Crossroads

Two weeks before the September 17 FOMC, markets are split between 48% probability of a first -25 bp cut and 46% hold. August NFP (Sept. 5) and CPI (Sept. 10) will be decisive. Positioning: overweight Treasuries 3-7Y, maintain gold, trim US high yield.

septembre 2, 2026

Nvidia: $44 Billion in Q2 Revenue — How to Calibrate AI Exposure in Your Portfolio

Nvidia's record Q2 FY2027 results ($44.1B, +122% YoY) confirm the AI supercycle. How to calibrate semiconductor exposure in a balanced portfolio without sacrificing valuation discipline.

août 31, 2026

The US Dollar’s Structural Decline — What It Means for Your Portfolio

The DXY has lost 9% since January 2026. Three structural drivers — US fiscal drift, global reserve de-dollarisation and the Fed pivot — are redefining the return equation for European investors.

août 21, 2026

Catégorie : Markets